View the h-diplo Discussion Logs by month
View the Prior Message in h-diplo's April 2010 logs by: [date] [author] [thread] View the Next Message in h-diplo's April 2010 logs by: [date] [author] [thread] Visit the h-diplo home page.
I very much admire Marc Trachtenberg's scholarship, and much appreciate his recalling my comments on the "curious pact between presidents and the public." I stand by those comments and ever so cautiously suggest another example: the firm public endorsement of the Vietnam War in 1963-65 "allowed" Kennedy and Johnson to set it on the road to ever-increasing expansion of the U.S. commitment -- without a declaration of war. But I do draw the line at Marc's resuscitation of the "back door to war" thesis. Perhaps FDR did believe that a war with Japan would give him the freedom to go to war with Germany, though I know of no evidence (as opposed to speculation) for that. Rather, I would suggest that the prevailing attitude in the Administration was that Japan was too smart to attack the U.S., a much stronger and more powerful nation. FDR's policies after 1937 were aimed at deterring Japanese expansion, not starting a war. By the time Roosevelt recognized that the Japanese would not back down (autumn 1941), it was too late. As that became clear to the Administration, General Marshall asked the President to do what he could to postpone the conflict because the U.S. military was not prepared to respond to a Japanese attack -- anywhere (however much they exaggerated the destructive power of B-17 bombers). For FDR actively to seek war with Japan (and only a direct war could act as a back-door for war against Germany) without ensuring military preparedness suggests either overweaning contempt for Japan's military (possible, but not revealed in anything FDR said or wrote), or that FDR was just plain stupid (hardly a rational assessment). The back-door result may have flitted across the minds of FDR and his senior advisers, but Charles Tansill could not find any hard evidence of that, and I know of no scholar who has. Cheers, Warren Kimball Rutgers University
|